4 census tracts · pop 19,406 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3.7–4.1
Potomac Falls is a 4-tract neighborhood of Cascades, VA and houses 19,406 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.
25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Against a Cascades baseline of 32.6%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Filings are well documented here: 41 across 4 observed tracts.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. 4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.9% of renter households. The voucher gap is 10.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $177,435, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
With little internal variation, 3.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Potomac Falls vs CascadesHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Potomac Falls
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
41Total filings (sum)
3.73%Avg annual filing rate
5.9%Peak year (2016)
3.73%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Potomac Falls
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.6%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility shutoff threat
7.0%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
22.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Potomac Falls
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Potomac Falls?
Potomac Falls scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Potomac Falls compare to Cascades overall?
Potomac Falls scores 0.4 points lower than Cascades overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,558 vs $2,657.
Q3
What is the average rent in Potomac Falls?
Average gross rent in Potomac Falls is $2,558/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Potomac Falls residents are renters?
23% of Potomac Falls households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Cascades). The neighborhood has 19,406 residents.
Q5
Is Potomac Falls a high social-vulnerability area?
Potomac Falls sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Potomac Falls have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Potomac Falls is census tract 51107611207 (score 4.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Potomac Falls for landlords?
Potomac Falls carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cascades as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Potomac Falls?
Potomac Falls has 19,307 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
