Herndon Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Grove
Tract 51107611701 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,705 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 51107611701 sits in the Herndon Heights area of Sterling eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 4,705 residents. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 38.9907, -77.4051 · click any tract to drill in
Why Herndon Heights scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Herndon Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Herndon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Herndon Heights
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,711, 20% below the Sterling average. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $126,224, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely.
25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611701
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611701?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611701?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611701?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611701?
Is tract 51107611701 considered part of Herndon Heights?
What share of households in tract 51107611701 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611701 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.