Sterling Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107611601 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,035
Census tract 51107611601 is in Sterling, Virginia. It has a population of 4,035 and an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). 13% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,570/month against a median household income of $143,041 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 38.9979, -77.4237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Sterling compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
About tract 51107611601
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611601?
Census tract 51107611601 in Sterling scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
What is the average rent in tract 51107611601?
Median gross rent is $2,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611601?
4.3% of residents in tract 51107611601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,035.
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 14th, minority 72th, housing 50th.
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.30% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 51107611601 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
How does tract 51107611601 compare to Sterling overall?
Tract 51107611601 scores 4.5/10 — lower than the parent city of Sterling at 5.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.