2 census tracts · pop 7,238 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3.8–4.2
Herndon Heights takes in 2 census tracts of Oak Grove, VA, population 7,238. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Oak Grove baseline of 25.3%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $2,013 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Oak Grove commands.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. SNAP participation is 6.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Herndon Heights vs Oak GroveHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Herndon Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.7%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
12.5%No health insurance
25.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Herndon Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Herndon Heights?
Herndon Heights scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Herndon Heights compare to Oak Grove overall?
Herndon Heights scores 0.1 points higher than Oak Grove overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,013 vs $2,519.
Q3
What is the average rent in Herndon Heights?
Average gross rent in Herndon eviction risk Heights is $2,013/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Herndon Heights residents are renters?
32% of Herndon Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Oak Grove). The neighborhood has 7,238 residents.
Q5
Is Herndon Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Herndon Heights sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Herndon Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Herndon Heights is census tract 51107611701 (score 4.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.2, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Herndon Heights for landlords?
Herndon eviction risk Heights carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Grove as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Herndon Heights?
Herndon Heights has 7,381 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.3%), Hispanic / Latino (34.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
