Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Sterling Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107611602 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,000
Tract 51107611602 sits in Sterling eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 4,000 residents. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,195
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$91,709
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 39.0016, -77.4158 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sterling scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6
How Sterling compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2016)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.3%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 23.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sterling
The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.4/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Loudoun County average of 4.1. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 filings here across 1 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,938, 9% below the Sterling average. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611602?
Census tract 51107611602 in Sterling scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611602?
Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611602?
9.5% of residents in tract 51107611602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,000.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 88th, housing 48th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.09% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611602 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611602 compare to Sterling overall?
Tract 51107611602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Sterling at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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