Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
The Grove at Willowsford Eviction Risk: Lower , Stone Ridge
Tract 51107611809 ·
Loudoun County, VA · pop 8,292 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
51107611809 is a census tract in the The Grove at Willowsford area of Stone Ridge, VA. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 6%Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,358
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$185,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In The Grove at Willowsford
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Stone Ridge
Very Low
Within county
3th percentile
#73 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
26th percentile
#1,618 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stone Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.9306, -77.5622 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Grove at Willowsford scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stone Ridge
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,871 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stone Ridge
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stone Ridge
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stone Ridge
1.9
How The Grove at Willowsford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Grove at Willowsford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.0%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
12.4%Frequent mental distress
17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Grove at Willowsford
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.9/10. The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.9/10. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Loudoun County average of 4.1. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611809
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611809?
Census tract 51107611809 in the The Grove at Willowsford neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611809?
Median gross rent is $2,871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611809?
0.0% of residents in tract 51107611809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611809?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 48th, minority 70th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611809 considered part of The Grove at Willowsford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611809 fall within The Grove at Willowsford (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611809 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611809 compare to Stone Ridge overall?
Tract 51107611809 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Stone Ridge at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stone Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stone Ridge
Top eight tracts in Stone Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.