Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
The Grove at Willowsford Eviction Risk: Lower , Stone Ridge
Tract 51107611810 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,353 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51107611810 covers part of the The Grove at Willowsford area of Stone Ridge, VA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,353. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,284
Renter share7.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$244,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stone Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.9402, -77.5903 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Grove at Willowsford scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Stone Ridge
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stone Ridge
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stone Ridge
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stone Ridge
1.9
How The Grove at Willowsford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Grove at Willowsford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Grove at Willowsford
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.2% against 31.5% nationally.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611810?
Census tract 51107611810 in the The Grove at Willowsford neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611810?
4.8% of residents in tract 51107611810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,353.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 19th, minority 62th, housing 26th.
Q4
Is tract 51107611810 considered part of The Grove at Willowsford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611810 fall within The Grove at Willowsford (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51107611810 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51107611810 compare to Stone Ridge overall?
Tract 51107611810 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Stone Ridge at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stone Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Stone Ridge
Top eight tracts in Stone Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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