2 census tracts · pop 15,645 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.3–3.5
The Grove at Willowsford takes in 2 census tracts of Stone Ridge, VA and houses 15,645 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,522, 45% below the Stone Ridge average of $2,746.
9% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly below the Stone Ridge rate of 19.5%. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.9/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 1.9/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
The voucher gap is 12.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Against average income of $213,331, annual rent is only 9%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Grove at Willowsford vs Stone RidgeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Grove at Willowsford
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.7%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
18.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Grove at Willowsford
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Grove at Willowsford?
The Grove at Willowsford scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Grove at Willowsford compare to Stone Ridge overall?
The Grove at Willowsford scores 0.2 points lower than Stone Ridge overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 9% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $1,522 vs $2,746.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Grove at Willowsford?
Average gross rent in The Grove at Willowsford is $1,522/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Grove at Willowsford residents are renters?
7% of The Grove at Willowsford households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Stone Ridge). The neighborhood has 15,645 residents.
Q5
Is The Grove at Willowsford a high social-vulnerability area?
The Grove at Willowsford sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Grove at Willowsford have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Grove at Willowsford is census tract 51107611810 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is The Grove at Willowsford for landlords?
The Grove at Willowsford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stone Ridge as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Grove at Willowsford?
The Grove at Willowsford has 16,262 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (34.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.