Skip to content
Neighborhood · Stone Ridge, VA

The Grove at Willowsford Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 15,645 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.3–3.5

The Grove at Willowsford takes in 2 census tracts of Stone Ridge, VA and houses 15,645 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,522, 45% below the Stone Ridge average of $2,746.

9% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly below the Stone Ridge rate of 19.5%. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.9/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 1.9/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 12.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $213,331, annual rent is only 9%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Grove at Willowsford vs Stone Ridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
8.7% -55%
Stone Ridge: 19.5%
Average gross rent
$1,522 -45%
Stone Ridge: $2,746
Average HH income
$213,331 +16%
Stone Ridge: $183,211
Poverty rate
2.2% +34%
Stone Ridge: 1.6%
Renter share
7.4% -43%
Stone Ridge: 13.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Grove at Willowsford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–3.5

Why The Grove at Willowsford scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
9% of income on rent · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Economic stress
2.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.4 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

The Grove at Willowsford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Grove at Willowsford score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Grove at Willo: 3.43.4The Grove at WilloNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Grove at Willowsford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611810 3.5 7,353 0%
51107611809 3.3 8,292 16% $2,871
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Grove at Willowsford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Grove at Willowsford

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Grove at Willowsford?

The Grove at Willowsford scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Grove at Willowsford compare to Stone Ridge overall?

The Grove at Willowsford scores 0.2 points lower than Stone Ridge overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 9% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $1,522 vs $2,746.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Grove at Willowsford?

Average gross rent in The Grove at Willowsford is $1,522/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Grove at Willowsford residents are renters?

7% of The Grove at Willowsford households are renter-occupied (vs 13% in Stone Ridge). The neighborhood has 15,645 residents.
Q5

Is The Grove at Willowsford a high social-vulnerability area?

The Grove at Willowsford sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Grove at Willowsford have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Grove at Willowsford is census tract 51107611810 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is The Grove at Willowsford for landlords?

The Grove at Willowsford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Stone Ridge as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Grove at Willowsford?

The Grove at Willowsford has 16,262 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (34.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Grove at Willowsford

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further