Tract 51121020201 ·
Montgomery County, VA · pop 6,250 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 7.7/10, tract 51121020201 in the Foxridge area of Blacksburg, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%Stable renters 37%Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units2,256
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate48.6%
Median income$34,423
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Foxridge
Moderate
Within parent city
67th percentile
#4 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
Elevated
Within county
77th percentile
#6 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2119, -80.4483 · click any tract to drill in
Why Foxridge scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
48.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,428 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5
How Foxridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.0%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
18.3%Food insecurity
15.8%SNAP enrollment
12.1%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Foxridge
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $34,423 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 49%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Montgomery County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Montgomery County average of 40.4%. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10.
This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51121020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020201?
Census tract 51121020201 in the Foxridge neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51121020201?
Median gross rent is $1,428/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020201?
48.6% of residents in tract 51121020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 2th, minority 48th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 51121020201 considered part of Foxridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020201 fall within Foxridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51121020201 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51121020201 compare to Blacksburg overall?
Tract 51121020201 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg
Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.