Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

McBryde Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020301 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 3,419 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

51121020301 is a census tract in the McBryde Village area of Blacksburg, VA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,419. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 34% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share76.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate57.3%
Median income$23,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In McBryde Village
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2372, -80.4306 · click any tract to drill in

Why McBryde Village scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
57.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,235 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5

How McBryde Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McBryde Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0203016.3Blacksburgparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McBryde Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McBryde Village

Set annual rent against average income of $23,201 and the ratio lands at 64%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 57%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Montgomery County at 40.4%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Montgomery County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

At $1,235 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Blacksburg commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020301?

Census tract 51121020301 in the McBryde Village neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51121020301?

Median gross rent is $1,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020301?

57.3% of residents in tract 51121020301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,419.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 0th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51121020301 considered part of McBryde Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020301 fall within McBryde Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51121020301 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51121020301 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020301 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related