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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

McBryde Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020301 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 3,419 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 51121020301, home to 3,419 residents in McBryde Village in Blacksburg, scores 7.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #2,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,235 a month against an average household income of $23,201 a year, roughly 64% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 34% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share76.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate57.3%
Median income$23,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In McBryde Village
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2372, -80.4306 · click any tract to drill in

Why McBryde Village scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
57.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,235 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5

How McBryde Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McBryde Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 020301Blacksburg: 3.73.7Blacksburgparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McBryde Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McBryde Village

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020301?

Census tract 51121020301 in the McBryde Village neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51121020301?

Median gross rent is $1,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020301?

57.3% of residents in tract 51121020301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,419.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 0th, minority 40th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51121020301 considered part of McBryde Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020301 fall within McBryde Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51121020301 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51121020301 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020301 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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