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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Nicholas Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020302 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 4,096 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 51121020302 sits in the Nicholas Manor area of Blacksburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 4,096. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 14% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$138,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Nicholas Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
Very Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2513, -80.4566 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nicholas Manor scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5

How Nicholas Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nicholas Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0203026.3Blacksburgparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nicholas Manor

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10. At $919 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Blacksburg commands.

Against Montgomery County at 40.4%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 8% of average household income of $138,462, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 5.1 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020302?

Census tract 51121020302 in the Nicholas Manor neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51121020302?

Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020302?

8.0% of residents in tract 51121020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,096.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 6th, minority 24th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 51121020302 considered part of Nicholas Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020302 fall within Nicholas Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51121020302 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51121020302 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020302 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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