Blandsford Eviction Risk: Lower , Buckhall
Tract 51153901232 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,141 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is the Blandsford neighborhood of Buckhall for landlords? Census tract 51153901232 scores 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #17,441 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 70% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,045 a month while the average household earns $181,681 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buckhall and the region
Centroid at 38.7198, -77.4409 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blandsford scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Blandsford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Blandsford
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buckhall eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51153901232
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901232?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901232?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901232?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901232?
Is tract 51153901232 considered part of Blandsford?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901232?
What share of households in tract 51153901232 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901232 compare to Buckhall overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Buckhall
Top eight tracts in Buckhall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.