Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Woodhaven Eviction Risk: Lower , Independent Hill
Tract 51153901234 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,986 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51153901234 runs through the Woodhaven neighborhood of Independent Hill. With 2,986 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #50,080 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,713 a month while the average household earns $184,107 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,049
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$184,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Independent Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.6473, -77.4084 · click any tract to drill in
Why Woodhaven scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Independent Hill
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,713 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Independent Hill
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Independent Hill
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Independent Hill
3.1
How Woodhaven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Woodhaven
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 4.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Independent Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.1% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901234
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901234?
Census tract 51153901234 in the Woodhaven neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901234?
Median gross rent is $1,713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901234?
2.6% of residents in tract 51153901234 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,986.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901234?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 17th, minority 57th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901234 considered part of Woodhaven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901234 fall within Woodhaven (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901234?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901234 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901234 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901234 compare to Independent Hill overall?
Tract 51153901234 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Independent Hill at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Independent Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Independent Hill
Top eight tracts in Independent Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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