Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Aquia Town Center Eviction Risk: Lower , Aquia Harbour
Tract 51179010211 · Stafford County, VA · pop 4,715 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51179010211 covers Aquia Town Center in Aquia Harbour, home to 4,715 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,737 a month while the average household earns $97,159 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,451
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$97,159
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aquia Harbour and the region
Centroid at 38.4586, -77.4124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aquia Town Center scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,737 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
5.0
How Aquia Town Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 165Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2015)
- 74Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aquia Town Center. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aquia Town Center
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aquia Harbour, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 165 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 15.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.9% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010211?
Census tract 51179010211 in the Aquia Town Center neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010211?
Median gross rent is $1,737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010211?
3.2% of residents in tract 51179010211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,715.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 61th, minority 78th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 51179010211 considered part of Aquia Town Center?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010211 fall within Aquia Town Center (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010211?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.96% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51179010211 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51179010211 compare to Aquia Harbour overall?
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