Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
North End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030900 · Newport News city, VA · pop 2,052 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 51700030900 sits in the North End area of Newport News eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,052 residents. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Newport News City average of 49.3%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,116
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$32,243
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0040, -76.4257 · click any tract to drill in
Why North End scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How North End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,236Total filings over 5 yrs
- 70.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 88.0%Peak (2015)
- 330Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.3%Food insecurity
- 31.0%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 13.2%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North End
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $32,243, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 31.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Housing insecurity runs 24.6% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,101, 18% below the Newport News average.
Court records carry 2,236 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030900?
Census tract 51700030900 in the North End neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030900?
Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030900?
21.9% of residents in tract 51700030900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,052.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 85th, minority 87th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030900 considered part of North End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030900 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,236 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 70.37% of renter households, peaking at 88.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030900 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030900 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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