Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
North End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700031100 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,550 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51700031100 covers part of the North End area of Newport News, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,550 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$61,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9994, -76.4466 · click any tract to drill in
Why North End scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How North End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,592Total filings over 5 yrs
- 48.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.4%Peak (2015)
- 330Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.4%Food insecurity
- 15.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North End
Against Newport News City at 49.3%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,592 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,189, 11% below the Newport News average.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 52.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 48.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $61,058.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031100?
Census tract 51700031100 in the North End neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031100?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031100?
17.1% of residents in tract 51700031100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 86th, minority 70th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031100 considered part of North End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031100 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,592 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.37% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031100 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031100 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700031100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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