Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
North End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700031100 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,550 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the North End area of Newport News centers on tract 51700031100, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,550 residents. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,189 monthly, set against $61,058 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$61,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9994, -76.4466 · click any tract to drill in
Why North End scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How North End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 20%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,592Total filings over 5 yrs
- 48.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.4%Peak (2015)
- 330Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.4%Food insecurity
- 15.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North End
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031100?
Census tract 51700031100 in the North End neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031100?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031100?
17.1% of residents in tract 51700031100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 86th, minority 70th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031100 considered part of North End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031100 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,592 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.37% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031100 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031100 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031100 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700031100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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