Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
North End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700031300 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,666 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
51700031300 is a census tract in the North End area of Newport News, VA. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,004
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$47,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0160, -76.4267 · click any tract to drill in
Why North End scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How North End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 751Total filings over 5 yrs
- 20.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2014)
- 146Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.9%Food insecurity
- 26.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 39.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North End
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $896 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Newport News commands.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 26.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 751 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 23.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 20.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031300?
Census tract 51700031300 in the North End neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031300?
Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031300?
11.3% of residents in tract 51700031300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,666.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 50th, minority 80th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031300 considered part of North End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031300 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 751 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.17% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031300 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031300 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031300 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related