Skip to content
Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

North End Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 12,498 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.5–5.5

North End is a black-white neighborhood in Newport News with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,498 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,055/month sits 21% lower than the Newport News citywide average ($1,339).

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
North End vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.2% +58%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,055 -21%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$50,413 -24%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
15.4% +2%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
59.0% +14%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North End and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.5–5.5

Why North End scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
59% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
15.4% below poverty line · Range 2.8–5.5 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

North End vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North End score vs. parent city, state, U.S.North End: 4.74.7North EndNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in North End?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 4.5 to 5.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in North End

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700030900 5.5 2,052 66% $1,101
51700031100 4.7 3,550 38% $1,189
51700031200 4.6 2,230 41% $1,131
51700031300 4.5 4,666 52% $896
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North End

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,600Total filings (sum)
  • 37.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 88.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 33.63%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North End

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North End

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North End?

North End scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North End compare to Newport News overall?

North End scores 0.4 points higher than Newport News overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,055 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in North End?

Average gross rent in North End is $1,055/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North End residents are renters?

59% of North End households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 12,498 residents.
Q5

Is North End a high social-vulnerability area?

North End sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North End have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North End is census tract 51700030900 (score 5.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is North End for landlords?

North End carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North End?

North End has 12,314 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (59.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North End

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North End.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further