4 census tracts · pop 12,498 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 4.2–5.4
North End is a 4-tract neighborhood of Newport News, VA and houses 12,498 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 48% against 30.6% citywide, putting North End 17.6% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. At $1,055 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Newport News commands.
The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.2 to 5.4, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Filings are well documented here: 5,600 across 4 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 88.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 35.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.
That places it #11 of 30 neighborhoods in Newport News. For a like-for-like read, Deer Park and Bernard Village score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $50,413. 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
North End vs Newport NewsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in North End
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
5,600Total filings (sum)
37.92%Avg annual filing rate
88.0%Peak year (2015)
33.63%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in North End
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.2%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
22.8%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
36.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About North End
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for North End?
North End scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does North End compare to Newport News overall?
North End scores 0.5 points higher than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,055 vs $1,339.
Q3
What is the average rent in North End?
Average gross rent in North End is $1,055/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of North End residents are renters?
59% of North End households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 12,498 residents.
Q5
Is North End a high social-vulnerability area?
North End sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in North End have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in North End is census tract 51700030900 (score 5.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.4, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7
How safe is North End for landlords?
North End carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of North End?
North End has 12,314 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (59.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
