Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Washington Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Richmond

Tract 51760010300 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,703 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 7.1/10 for census tract 51760010300 reflects conditions in Washington Park in Richmond, Virginia. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $780 monthly, set against $27,344 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 32% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units690
Renter share69.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$27,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Washington Park
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 75 tracts In Richmond
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5977, -77.4446 · click any tract to drill in

Why Washington Park scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Washington Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Washington Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 010300Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 790Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 47.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.5%Peak (2014)
  • 190Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517600103002013: 186 filings (45.15/100 renter HHs)2014: 270 filings (65.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 144 filings (34.95/100 renter HHs)2016: 190 filings (45.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Washington Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760010300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010300?

Census tract 51760010300 in the Washington Park neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760010300?

Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010300?

45.1% of residents in tract 51760010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 93th, minority 94th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 51760010300 considered part of Washington Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010300 fall within Washington Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760010300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 790 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.69% of renter households, peaking at 65.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760010300 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760010300 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760010300 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760010300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related