Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Washington Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760010300 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,703 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51760010300 is a census tract in the Washington Park area of Richmond, VA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,703. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units690
Renter share69.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$27,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5977, -77.4446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Washington Park scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Washington Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 39%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 790Total filings over 4 yrs
- 47.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 65.5%Peak (2014)
- 190Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.3%Housing insecurity
- 28.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 47.8%Food insecurity
- 55.0%SNAP enrollment
- 24.8%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 23.0%Frequent mental distress
- 52.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Washington Park
34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 47.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $780, 43% below the Richmond average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10.
Housing insecurity runs 34.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $27,344 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
The filing record is not thin: 790 evictions over 4 years of observation. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Richmond City average of 50.2%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760010300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010300?
Census tract 51760010300 in the Washington Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760010300?
Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010300?
45.1% of residents in tract 51760010300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,703.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 93th, minority 94th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 51760010300 considered part of Washington Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010300 fall within Washington Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760010300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 790 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760010300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.69% of renter households, peaking at 65.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760010300 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760010300 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760010300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760010300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodstock
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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