Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Fairmount Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760020300 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,825 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 51760020300 in the Fairmount area of Richmond, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units974
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$54,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5420, -77.4081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairmount scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,506 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Fairmount compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 70%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 416Total filings over 4 yrs
- 41.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.0%Peak (2013)
- 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fairmount. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 15.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.5%Food insecurity
- 26.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 37.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairmount
Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $54,833, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.
Cost burden runs 59% here against 50.2% across Richmond City. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 26.5% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 416 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,506, 10% above the Richmond average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760020300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760020300?
Census tract 51760020300 in the Fairmount neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760020300?
Median gross rent is $1,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760020300?
22.5% of residents in tract 51760020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,825.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760020300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 58th, minority 82th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51760020300 considered part of Fairmount?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760020300 fall within Fairmount (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760020300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 416 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.76% of renter households, peaking at 49.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760020300 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760020300 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760020300 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760020300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 70% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oregon Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Chestnut Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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