Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Fairmount Eviction Risk: Elevated , Richmond

Tract 51760020400 · Richmond city, VA · pop 4,539 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51760020400 (Fairmount in Richmond, Virginia) comes in at 7.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $672 a month against an average household income of $24,391 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 35% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,680
Renter share82.3%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate43.9%
Median income$24,391

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fairmount
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5464, -77.4208 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairmount scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
43.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$672 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Fairmount compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairmount risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 020400Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,376Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 54.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.6%Peak (2016)
  • 628Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517600204002013: 568 filings (53.28/100 renter HHs)2014: 568 filings (53.28/100 renter HHs)2015: 612 filings (57.41/100 renter HHs)2016: 628 filings (52.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fairmount. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairmount

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 68% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 39.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 31.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760020400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760020400?

Census tract 51760020400 in the Fairmount neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760020400?

Median gross rent is $672/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760020400?

43.9% of residents in tract 51760020400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,539.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760020400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 87th, minority 94th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 51760020400 considered part of Fairmount?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760020400 fall within Fairmount (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760020400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,376 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760020400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 54.13% of renter households, peaking at 52.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760020400 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760020400 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760020400 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760020400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 68% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related