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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Union Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760020501 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,290 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

51760020501 is a census tract in the Union Hill area of Richmond, VA. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,290 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 40% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units2,084
Renter share92.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$58,143

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Union Hill
Very High
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#739 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5371, -77.4267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Hill scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Union Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0205014.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Union Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Hill

This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against Richmond City at 50.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,409, close to the Richmond average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $58,143.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760020501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760020501?

Census tract 51760020501 in the Union Hill neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760020501?

Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760020501?

17.0% of residents in tract 51760020501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,290.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760020501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 1th, minority 66th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51760020501 considered part of Union Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760020501 fall within Union Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760020501 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760020501 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760020501 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51760020501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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