Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Union Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760020600 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,244 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51760020600 covers part of the Union Hill area of Richmond, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,244 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,101
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$102,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5334, -77.4157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Union Hill scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,482 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Union Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 135Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2013)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Union Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Union Hill
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Cost burden runs 43% here against 50.2% across Richmond City. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 135 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Average gross rent is $1,482, 8% above the Richmond average.
In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $102,614, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760020600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760020600?
Census tract 51760020600 in the Union Hill neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760020600?
Median gross rent is $1,482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760020600?
9.2% of residents in tract 51760020600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760020600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51760020600 considered part of Union Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760020600 fall within Union Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760020600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760020600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.69% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760020600 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760020600 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760020600 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760020600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Chestnut Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodstock
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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