Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Fulton Bottom Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760021100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,813 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 51760021100 sits in the Fulton Bottom neighborhood of Richmond eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,616 monthly, set against $40,372 in average yearly household income, roughly 48% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$40,372
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5194, -77.4072 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fulton Bottom scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Fulton Bottom compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 9%Grade C
- 58%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 300Total filings over 4 yrs
- 33.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 42.0%Peak (2014)
- 66Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.4%Housing insecurity
- 21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 38.6%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 43.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fulton Bottom
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 300 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 33.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 42.0% of renter households in 2014.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 58% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760021100?
Census tract 51760021100 in the Fulton Bottom neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760021100?
Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760021100?
28.9% of residents in tract 51760021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 8th, minority 81th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 51760021100 considered part of Fulton Bottom?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760021100 fall within Fulton Bottom (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760021100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.57% of renter households, peaking at 42.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760021100 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760021100 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760021100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760021100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 58% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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