Reedy Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760060400 · Richmond city, VA · pop 4,828 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 51760060400 in the Reedy Creek area of Richmond, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Richmond City average of 50.2%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5105, -77.4653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Reedy Creek scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Reedy Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,550Total filings over 4 yrs
- 32.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 39.6%Peak (2013)
- 331Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 23.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Reedy Creek
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,550 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 23.2% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.6 points above the Richmond City average of 4.3. The worst year on record was 2013, when 39.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 32.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Average gross rent is $1,275, close to the Richmond average. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $48,030.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51760060400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760060400?
What is the average rent in tract 51760060400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760060400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760060400?
Is tract 51760060400 considered part of Reedy Creek?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760060400?
What share of households in tract 51760060400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51760060400 compare to Richmond overall?
Was tract 51760060400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.