Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Chesterfield Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760070802 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,637 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51760070802 belongs to the Chesterfield Court neighborhood of Richmond, Virginia. It is home to 2,637 residents and scores 6.3/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #15,391 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,392 a month while the average household earns $56,406 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,034
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$56,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.4701, -77.4760 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chesterfield Court scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Chesterfield Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 170Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2013)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.3%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.0%Transit barriers
- 18.2%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield Court
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 170 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 14.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.5% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760070802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070802?
Census tract 51760070802 in the Chesterfield Court neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760070802?
Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070802?
9.6% of residents in tract 51760070802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 88th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 51760070802 considered part of Chesterfield Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070802 fall within Chesterfield Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760070802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760070802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.03% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760070802 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760070802 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760070802 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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