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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Chesterfield Court Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond

Tract 51760070802 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,637 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51760070802 sits in the Chesterfield Court area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 2,637 residents. Cost burden runs 72% here against 50.2% across Richmond City.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,034
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$56,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chesterfield Court
Moderate
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#1,203 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.4701, -77.4760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chesterfield Court scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Chesterfield Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chesterfield Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0708024.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 170Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 14.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.5%Peak (2013)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51760070802
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chesterfield Court

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Court records carry 170 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 16.5% of renter households were served. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760070802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070802?

Census tract 51760070802 in the Chesterfield Court neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760070802?

Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070802?

9.6% of residents in tract 51760070802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,637.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 88th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 51760070802 considered part of Chesterfield Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070802 fall within Chesterfield Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760070802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 170 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760070802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.03% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760070802 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760070802 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760070802 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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