Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Forest View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760071002 · Richmond city, VA · pop 4,257 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.6/10 for census tract 51760071002 reflects conditions in the Forest View area of Richmond, Virginia. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,305 monthly, set against $66,857 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,452
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$66,857
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5134, -77.5008 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest View scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Forest View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5,052Total filings over 4 yrs
- 131.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 137.2%Peak (2016)
- 1,287Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 20.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest View
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,052 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 131.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 137.2% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760071002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760071002?
Census tract 51760071002 in the Forest View neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760071002?
Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760071002?
19.2% of residents in tract 51760071002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,257.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760071002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 74th, minority 84th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 51760071002 considered part of Forest View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760071002 fall within Forest View (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760071002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,052 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760071002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 131.54% of renter households, peaking at 137.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760071002 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760071002 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760071002 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760071002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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