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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Pinehurts Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760071003 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,556 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

51760071003 is a census tract in the Pinehurts area of Richmond, VA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,556. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 30% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share72.8%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$41,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Pinehurts
Very Low
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5116, -77.5133 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pinehurts scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,401 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Pinehurts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pinehurts risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0710034.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pinehurts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pinehurts

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $41,708, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 50.2% across Richmond City.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $1,401, close to the Richmond average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760071003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760071003?

Census tract 51760071003 in the Pinehurts neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760071003?

Median gross rent is $1,401/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760071003?

16.0% of residents in tract 51760071003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,556.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760071003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 79th, minority 85th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 51760071003 considered part of Pinehurts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760071003 fall within Pinehurts (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760071003 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760071003 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760071003 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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