2 census tracts · pop 4,377 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 4.8–5.7
Pinehurts takes in 2 census tracts of Richmond, VA, population 4,377. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Richmond baseline of 31.1%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 14.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
SNAP participation is 24.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,276, 7% below the Richmond average of $1,372. That places it #16 of 54 neighborhoods in Richmond.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Barton Heights and Oak Grove. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Pinehurts vs RichmondHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pinehurts
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.2%Housing insecurity
14.1%Utility shutoff threat
24.6%Food insecurity
23.9%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
37.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pinehurts
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pinehurts?
Pinehurts scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pinehurts compare to Richmond overall?
Pinehurts scores 0.9 points higher than Richmond overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,276 vs $1,372.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pinehurts?
Average gross rent in Pinehurts is $1,276/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pinehurts residents are renters?
84% of Pinehurts households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 4,377 residents.
Q5
Is Pinehurts a high social-vulnerability area?
Pinehurts sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Pinehurts have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Pinehurts is census tract 51760071004 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.7, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Pinehurts for landlords?
Pinehurts carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Pinehurts?
Pinehurts has 4,357 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (76.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.2%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
