Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Linkhorn Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810044006 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,124 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51810044006 in the Linkhorn Park area of Virginia Beach, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,124 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,471
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$73,260
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8538, -75.9896 · click any tract to drill in
Why Linkhorn Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Linkhorn Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.7%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Linkhorn Park
73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. At $1,455 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands.
It sits 0.6 points above the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $73,260.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810044006
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810044006?
Census tract 51810044006 in the Linkhorn Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810044006?
Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810044006?
10.6% of residents in tract 51810044006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,124.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810044006?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 11th, minority 52th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51810044006 considered part of Linkhorn Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810044006 fall within Linkhorn Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51810044006 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51810044006 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810044006 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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