Green Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

At $965 a month, rents run 44% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.