Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810040405 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,222 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51810040405 covers part of the Lawson Forest area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,222 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,830
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate38.6%
Median income$46,453
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8681, -76.1644 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lawson Forest scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
38.6% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,202 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Lawson Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.6%Food insecurity
- 29.2%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest
29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Average gross rent is $1,202, 30% below the Virginia Beach average. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
SNAP participation runs 29.2% against 15.2% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Food insecurity runs 29.6% against 17.8% nationally. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810040405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040405?
Census tract 51810040405 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810040405?
Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040405?
38.6% of residents in tract 51810040405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,222.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 49th, minority 86th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 51810040405 considered part of Lawson Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040405 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51810040405 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51810040405 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810040405 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Thalia Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Level Green
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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