Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Nimmo Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045424 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 6,270 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 51810045424 sits in the Nimmo area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,270 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,115
Renter share8.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$146,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.7420, -76.0088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nimmo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,231 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Nimmo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2016)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nimmo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nimmo
The voucher gap is 31.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,231, 30% above the Virginia Beach average. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.2/10.
Cost burden runs 38% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 1 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 12.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045424
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045424?
Census tract 51810045424 in the Nimmo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045424?
Median gross rent is $2,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045424?
4.9% of residents in tract 51810045424 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,270.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045424?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 50th, minority 39th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045424 considered part of Nimmo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045424 fall within Nimmo (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045424?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045424 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.59% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045424 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045424 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045424 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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