Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Nimmo Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045420 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 5,766 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 51810045420 in the Nimmo area of Virginia Beach, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,766 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,116
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$112,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.7509, -75.9916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nimmo scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,895 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Nimmo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2016)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nimmo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nimmo
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10.
Cost burden runs 53% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 16 evictions over 1 years of observation. It sits 0.7 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9.
At $1,895 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia eviction laws Beach rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045420
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045420?
Census tract 51810045420 in the Nimmo neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045420?
Median gross rent is $1,895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045420?
7.9% of residents in tract 51810045420 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,766.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045420?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 28th, minority 41th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045420 considered part of Nimmo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045420 fall within Nimmo (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045420?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045420 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.76% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045420 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045420 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045420 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brigadoon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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