Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Magic Hollow Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045430 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,621 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51810045430 is a census tract in the Magic Hollow area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,653
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$60,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.7973, -76.0791 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magic Hollow scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,550 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Magic Hollow compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.9%Food insecurity
- 19.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magic Hollow
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,550 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Virginia Beach commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $60,444.
62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045430
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045430?
Census tract 51810045430 in the Magic Hollow neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045430?
Median gross rent is $1,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045430?
22.6% of residents in tract 51810045430 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,621.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045430?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 41th, minority 76th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045430 considered part of Magic Hollow?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045430 fall within Magic Hollow (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51810045430 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51810045430 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045430 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Thalia Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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