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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Columbia Valley Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Longview

Tract 53015000702 · Cowlitz County, WA · pop 3,159 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Columbia Valley Gardens area of Longview is where census tract 53015000702 sits, home to 3,159 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,744 a month against an average household income of $81,394 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,135
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$81,394

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Columbia Valley Gardens
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 13 tracts In Longview
Very Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 30 tracts In Cowlitz County
Moderate
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#474 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Longview and the region

Centroid at 46.1554, -122.9712 · click any tract to drill in

Why Columbia Valley Gardens scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Longview
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,744 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Longview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Longview
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Longview
6.8

How Columbia Valley Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Columbia Valley Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000702Longview: 6.66.6Longviewparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530150007022004: 5 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (2.22/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (1.66/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (4.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (2.69/100 renter HHs)2018: 5 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Columbia Valley Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Columbia Valley Gardens

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Longview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cowlitz County average of 5.3 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53015000702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015000702?

Census tract 53015000702 in the Columbia Valley Gardens neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53015000702?

Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53015000702?

9.6% of residents in tract 53015000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,159.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53015000702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 97th, minority 42th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 53015000702 considered part of Columbia Valley Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53015000702 fall within Columbia Valley Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53015000702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53015000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53015000702 compare to Longview overall?

Tract 53015000702 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Longview at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Longview

Top eight tracts in Longview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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