Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Columbia Valley Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Longview
Tract 53015000702 · Cowlitz County, WA · pop 3,159 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 53015000702 sits in the Columbia Valley Gardens area of Longview eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 3,159 residents. At $1,744 a month, rents run 53% over what the rest of Longview commands.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,135
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$81,394
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Longview and the region
Centroid at 46.1554, -122.9712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Columbia Valley Gardens scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Longview
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,744 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Longview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Longview
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Longview
6.8
How Columbia Valley Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 49Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Columbia Valley Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Columbia Valley Gardens
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 filings here across 11 tracked years. Against Cowlitz County at 40.6%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 4.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53015000702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015000702?
Census tract 53015000702 in the Columbia Valley Gardens neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53015000702?
Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53015000702?
9.6% of residents in tract 53015000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53015000702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 97th, minority 42th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 53015000702 considered part of Columbia Valley Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53015000702 fall within Columbia Valley Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53015000702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53015000702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53015000702 compare to Longview overall?
Tract 53015000702 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Longview at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Longview
Top eight tracts in Longview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Columbia Valley Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Kelso
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015980000
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015000502
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015000501
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Kelso
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Longview
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Longview
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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