Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Briarcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest Park
Tract 53033021300 · King County, WA · pop 4,203 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 53033021300 covers part of the Briarcrest area of Lake Forest Park, WA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,203. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the King County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,827
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$125,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest Park and the region
Centroid at 47.7403, -122.2870 · click any tract to drill in
Why Briarcrest scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,099 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.0
How Briarcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 124Total filings over 10 yrs
- 1.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2009)
- 15Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Briarcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Briarcrest
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. It sits 1.9 points below the King County average of 6.7.
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.3/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 124 evictions over 10 years of observation.
At $2,099 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Lake Forest Park commands. The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $125,125.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033021300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033021300?
Census tract 53033021300 in the Briarcrest neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033021300?
Median gross rent is $2,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033021300?
6.1% of residents in tract 53033021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,203.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033021300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 34th, minority 57th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 53033021300 considered part of Briarcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033021300 fall within Briarcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033021300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 124 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033021300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.63% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033021300 compare to Lake Forest Park overall?
Tract 53033021300 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest Park at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest Park
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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