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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

McCarver Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tacoma

Tract 53053061400 · Pierce County, WA · pop 3,704 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

McCarver Neighborhood in Tacoma is where census tract 53053061400 sits, home to 3,704 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,724 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,291 a month while the average household earns $41,464 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 90% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 44% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share90.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate25.7%
Median income$41,464

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In McCarver Neighborhood
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 50 tracts In Tacoma
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 193 tracts In Pierce County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tacoma and the region

Centroid at 47.2502, -122.4483 · click any tract to drill in

Why McCarver Neighborhood scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
25.7% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,291 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5

How McCarver Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McCarver Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 061400Tacoma: 7.87.8Tacomaparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 743Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2005)
  • 72Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530530614002004: 93 filings (8.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 98 filings (8.28/100 renter HHs)2006: 90 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2007: 79 filings (6.68/100 renter HHs)2008: 56 filings (4.73/100 renter HHs)2009: 40 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2010: 57 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 47 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 57 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)2015: 72 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 446Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (1.80× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (2.18× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (2.62× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-07-01: 15 filings (4.09× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-10-01: 12 filings (2.25× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 10 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-08-01: 14 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (3.75× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (1.13× baseline)2024-11-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 7 filings (2.10× baseline)2025-03-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 16 filings (5.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 12 filings (1.80× baseline)2025-07-01: 15 filings (4.09× baseline)2025-08-01: 9 filings (1.93× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 28 filings (5.25× baseline)2025-11-01: 22 filings (7.33× baseline)2025-12-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 18 filings (4.50× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (1.50× baseline)2026-03-01: 17 filings (3.40× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McCarver Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McCarver Neighborhood

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pierce County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 61% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 53053061400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053061400?

Census tract 53053061400 in the McCarver Neighborhood neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53053061400?

Median gross rent is $1,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53053061400?

25.7% of residents in tract 53053061400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53053061400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 39th, minority 58th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 53053061400 considered part of McCarver Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053061400 fall within McCarver Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053061400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 743 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053061400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 53053061400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 53053061400 compare to Tacoma overall?

Tract 53053061400 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Tacoma at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 53053061400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 61% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma

Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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