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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

McCarver Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tacoma

Tract 53053061700 · Pierce County, WA · pop 5,212 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the McCarver Neighborhood neighborhood of Tacoma, census tract 53053061700 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,499 a month while the average household earns $93,475 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,236
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$93,475

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In McCarver Neighborhood
Very Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 50 tracts In Tacoma
Moderate
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#55 of 193 tracts In Pierce County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#585 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tacoma and the region

Centroid at 47.2387, -122.4578 · click any tract to drill in

Why McCarver Neighborhood scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,499 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5

How McCarver Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McCarver Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 061700Tacoma: 7.87.8Tacomaparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 447Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2005)
  • 37Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530530617002004: 47 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 58 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2006: 45 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 44 filings (5.59/100 renter HHs)2008: 41 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2009: 31 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2012: 39 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 44 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2014: 37 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 200Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-06-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (10.45× baseline)2023-04-01: 9 filings (5.39× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (2.15× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-10-01: 8 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (4.48× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (7.46× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McCarver Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McCarver Neighborhood

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pierce County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 447 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.4% of renter households in 2005.

Part of this tract, about 35% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 53053061700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053061700?

Census tract 53053061700 in the McCarver Neighborhood neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53053061700?

Median gross rent is $1,499/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53053061700?

11.2% of residents in tract 53053061700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,212.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53053061700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 50th, minority 65th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 53053061700 considered part of McCarver Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053061700 fall within McCarver Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053061700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 447 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053061700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.17% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 53053061700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 53053061700 compare to Tacoma overall?

Tract 53053061700 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Tacoma at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 53053061700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma

Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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