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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Portland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tacoma

Tract 53053940007 · Pierce County, WA · pop 3,463 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 53053940007 in the Lower Portland area of Tacoma, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,463 residents. It sits 2.0 points above the Pierce County average of 5.7.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 13% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,126
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$80,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lower Portland
Moderate
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#20 of 50 tracts In Tacoma
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 193 tracts In Pierce County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#225 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tacoma and the region

Centroid at 47.2321, -122.4012 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Portland scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5

How Lower Portland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Portland risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 9400077.0Tacomaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 189Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2006)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 53053940007
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 82Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Portland

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.8/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 189 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,691, close to the Tacoma average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53053940007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053940007?

Census tract 53053940007 in the Lower Portland neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53053940007?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53053940007?

11.5% of residents in tract 53053940007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,463.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53053940007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 88th, minority 75th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 53053940007 considered part of Lower Portland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053940007 fall within Lower Portland (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053940007?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053940007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.53% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 53053940007 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 53053940007 compare to Tacoma overall?

Tract 53053940007 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tacoma at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 53053940007 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma

Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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