Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Portland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tacoma
Tract 53053940007 · Pierce County, WA · pop 3,463 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 53053940007 covers Lower Portland in Tacoma in Washington. Home to 3,463 residents, it scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,691 a month against an average household income of $80,375 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,126
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$80,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tacoma and the region
Centroid at 47.2321, -122.4012 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Portland scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
How Lower Portland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 39%Grade C
- 15%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 189Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2006)
- 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 82Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Portland
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pierce County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 189 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2006.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053940007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053940007?
Census tract 53053940007 in the Lower Portland neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053940007?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053940007?
11.5% of residents in tract 53053940007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,463.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053940007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 88th, minority 75th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 53053940007 considered part of Lower Portland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053940007 fall within Lower Portland (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053940007?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053940007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.53% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 53053940007 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 53053940007 compare to Tacoma overall?
Tract 53053940007 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tacoma at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 53053940007 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma
Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Stadium District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Salishan
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
McCarver Neighborhood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Dixon Village
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Larchmont
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
International District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Stadium District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
The Verandas
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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