1 census tracts · pop 3,463 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10
· range 7.7–7.7
Lower Portland is a one-tract neighborhood of Tacoma, WA, population 3,463. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Tacoma baseline of 32.4%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
Court records for this tract carry 189 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 7.0% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 4.3% in 2015 against a 7.0% peak. Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of Tacoma, it ranks #11 by risk, the middle third. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,691, close to the Tacoma average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $80,375.
One tract means one number: 7.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Portland vs TacomaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lower Portland
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
189Total filings (sum)
4.53%Avg annual filing rate
7.0%Peak year (2006)
4.27%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
82Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly observed
1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO).
Frequently asked
About Lower Portland
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Portland?
Lower Portland scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lower Portland compare to Tacoma overall?
Lower Portland scores 0.7 points higher than Tacoma overall (7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,691 vs $1,676.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lower Portland?
Average gross rent in Lower Portland is $1,691/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lower Portland residents are renters?
27% of Lower Portland households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Tacoma). The neighborhood has 3,463 residents.
Q5
Is Lower Portland a high social-vulnerability area?
Lower Portland sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Lower Portland for landlords?
Lower Portland carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tacoma as a whole (7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Portland?
Lower Portland has 3,103 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), Other / Multiracial (22.1%), Hispanic / Latino (17.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
