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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Aspen Eviction Risk: Lower , Mill Creek

Tract 53061052006 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 4,166 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 53061052006 covers the Aspen neighborhood of Mill Creek, home to 4,166 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,517 a month while the average household earns $147,335 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,391
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$147,335

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Aspen
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Mill Creek
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 173 tracts In Snohomish County
Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#1,593 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region

Centroid at 47.8495, -122.1963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspen scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,517 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5

How Aspen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aspen risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 052006Mill Creek: 6.86.8Mill Creekparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2008)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530610520062008: 3 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aspen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspen

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mill Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Snohomish County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 1.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.8% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53061052006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061052006?

Census tract 53061052006 in the Aspen neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53061052006?

Median gross rent is $2,517/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53061052006?

2.2% of residents in tract 53061052006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,166.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53061052006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 29th, minority 55th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 53061052006 considered part of Aspen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061052006 fall within Aspen (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061052006?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53061052006 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53061052006 compare to Mill Creek overall?

Tract 53061052006 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek

Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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