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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Aspen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mill Creek

Tract 53061052006 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 4,166 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 53061052006 covers part of the Aspen area of Mill Creek, WA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 52%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,391
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$147,335

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Aspen
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Mill Creek
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 173 tracts In Snohomish County
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,157 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region

Centroid at 47.8495, -122.1963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspen scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,517 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5

How Aspen compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aspen risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0520066.3Mill Creekparent city5.4Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak (2008)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 53061052006
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aspen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspen

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Snohomish County average of 47.3%. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Average gross rent is $2,517, 12% above the Mill Creek average.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 1.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53061052006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061052006?

Census tract 53061052006 in the Aspen neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53061052006?

Median gross rent is $2,517/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53061052006?

2.2% of residents in tract 53061052006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,166.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53061052006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 29th, minority 55th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 53061052006 considered part of Aspen?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061052006 fall within Aspen (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061052006?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53061052006 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53061052006 compare to Mill Creek overall?

Tract 53061052006 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek

Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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