Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Aspen Eviction Risk: Lower , Mill Creek
Tract 53061052007 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 5,574 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 53061052007 covers part of the Aspen area of Mill Creek East, WA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,574 residents. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Snohomish County average of 47.3%.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,736
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$158,790
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
10
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region
Centroid at 47.8395, -122.1993 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aspen scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,060 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
4.1
How Aspen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 4 yrs
- 0.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2014)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aspen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aspen
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. It sits 1.9 points below the Snohomish County average of 5.4.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.9/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 4 years of observation. The voucher gap is 14.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2014 at 1.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061052007
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061052007?
Census tract 53061052007 in the Aspen neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061052007?
Median gross rent is $3,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061052007?
4.2% of residents in tract 53061052007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061052007?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 17th, minority 59th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 53061052007 considered part of Aspen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061052007 fall within Aspen (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061052007?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 53061052007 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.99% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061052007 compare to Mill Creek overall?
Tract 53061052007 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek
Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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