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Neighborhood · Mill Creek, WA

Aspen Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,740 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.5–5.1

Aspen takes in 2 census tracts of Mill Creek, WA, population 9,740. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 68% against 29.3% citywide, putting Aspen 38.9% over its own city.

28% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,828, 26% above the Mill Creek average of $2,249.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.5 to 5.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Filings are well documented here: 16 across 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 1.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.1% in 2017, is well off that peak.

That places it #5 of 5 neighborhoods in Mill Creek. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Pembrook and Lakewood score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $153,890.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Aspen vs Mill Creek How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
68.2% +133%
Mill Creek: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$2,828 +26%
Mill Creek: $2,249
Average HH income
$153,890 +27%
Mill Creek: $121,578
Poverty rate
3.4% -30%
Mill Creek: 4.9%
Renter share
14.8% -64%
Mill Creek: 41.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–5.1

Why Aspen scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 5.5–7.9 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.8 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 4.1–8.2 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–5.5 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
3.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–6.5 across tracts
5.6
Risk score comparison

Aspen vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Aspen score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2AspenNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Aspen

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53061052006 5.1 4,166 60% $2,517
53061052007 3.5 5,574 74% $3,060
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Aspen

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings (sum)
  • 1.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2014)
  • 1.01%Latest filed (2017)
Frequently asked

About Aspen

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Aspen?

Aspen scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Aspen compare to Mill Creek overall?

Aspen scores 2.1 points lower than Mill Creek overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,828 vs $2,249.
Q3

What is the average rent in Aspen?

Average gross rent in Aspen is $2,828/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Aspen residents are renters?

15% of Aspen households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Mill Creek). The neighborhood has 9,740 residents.
Q5

Is Aspen a high social-vulnerability area?

Aspen sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Aspen have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Aspen is census tract 53061052006 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 5.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Aspen for landlords?

Aspen carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mill Creek as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Aspen?

Aspen has 9,438 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (22.7%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Aspen

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mill Creek

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Aspen.

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