Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lacey
Tract 53067011626 · Thurston County, WA · pop 5,630 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
For landlords sizing up Chestnut Village in Lacey, census tract 53067011626 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,810 a month against an average household income of $97,974 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share35.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$97,974
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lacey and the region
Centroid at 47.0078, -122.8357 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Village scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lacey
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,810 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lacey
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lacey
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lacey
6.5
How Chestnut Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chestnut Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lacey eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Thurston County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53067011626
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53067011626?
Census tract 53067011626 in the Chestnut Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53067011626?
Median gross rent is $1,810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53067011626?
10.7% of residents in tract 53067011626 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,630.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53067011626?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 66th, minority 54th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 53067011626 considered part of Chestnut Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53067011626 fall within Chestnut Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53067011626 compare to Lacey overall?
Tract 53067011626 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lacey at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lacey eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lacey
Top eight tracts in Lacey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
53067011200
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Glenn Terra Neighborhood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53067012330
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Laurel Oaks
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
53067011410
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
Glenn Terra Neighborhood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
53067012226
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WA
53067011300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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