Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Chestnut Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lacey

Tract 53067011721 · Thurston County, WA · pop 5,534 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 53067011721 covers the Chestnut Village area of Lacey, home to 5,534 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #31,280 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,877 monthly, set against $115,451 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 18% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,980
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$115,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Chestnut Village
Very High
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 15 tracts In Lacey
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 61 tracts In Thurston County
High
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lacey and the region

Centroid at 47.0093, -122.8612 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chestnut Village scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lacey
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,877 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lacey
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lacey
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lacey
7.4

How Chestnut Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chestnut Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 011721Lacey: 6.96.9Laceyparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chestnut Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Village

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lacey eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Thurston County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53067011721

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53067011721?

Census tract 53067011721 in the Chestnut Village neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53067011721?

Median gross rent is $1,877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53067011721?

9.0% of residents in tract 53067011721 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,534.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53067011721?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 86th, minority 57th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 53067011721 considered part of Chestnut Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53067011721 fall within Chestnut Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53067011721 compare to Lacey overall?

Tract 53067011721 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lacey at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lacey eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lacey

Top eight tracts in Lacey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related