Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Valley Eviction Risk: High , Bellingham
Tract 53073001204 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,489 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Happy Valley neighborhood of Bellingham centers on tract 53073001204, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,489 residents. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,278 monthly, set against $38,565 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,519
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$38,565
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellingham and the region
Centroid at 48.7229, -122.4787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1
How Happy Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073001204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073001204?
Census tract 53073001204 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073001204?
Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073001204?
35.3% of residents in tract 53073001204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,489.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073001204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 11th, minority 48th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 53073001204 considered part of Happy Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073001204 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073001204 compare to Bellingham overall?
Tract 53073001204 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham
Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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