Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Valley Eviction Risk: High , Bellingham
Tract 53073001203 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,170 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 53073001203 covers part of the Happy Valley area of Bellingham, WA, and scores 8.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,501
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate36.9%
Median income$52,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellingham and the region
Centroid at 48.7199, -122.4921 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley scores 8.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
36.9% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,636 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1
How Happy Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley
Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
On the high side, economic stress reads 9.2/10. This is renter territory: 85% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $52,398, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 49.6% across Whatcom County.
On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,636, close to the Bellingham average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073001203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073001203?
Census tract 53073001203 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073001203?
Median gross rent is $1,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073001203?
36.9% of residents in tract 53073001203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,170.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073001203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 1th, minority 27th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 53073001203 considered part of Happy Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073001203 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073001203 compare to Bellingham overall?
Tract 53073001203 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham
Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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