Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #1,816 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Valley Eviction Risk: High , Bellingham
Tract 53073001203 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,170 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Here is how census tract 53073001203, in the Happy Valley area of Bellingham eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,170. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,636 a month against an average household income of $52,398 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,501
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate36.9%
Median income$52,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellingham and the region
Centroid at 48.7199, -122.4921 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
36.9% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,636 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1
How Happy Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073001203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073001203?
Census tract 53073001203 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073001203?
Median gross rent is $1,636/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073001203?
36.9% of residents in tract 53073001203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,170.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073001203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 1th, minority 27th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 53073001203 considered part of Happy Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073001203 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073001203 compare to Bellingham overall?
Tract 53073001203 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham
Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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