Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeway Eviction Risk: High , Bellingham
Tract 53073000903 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,450 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 53073000903 sits in the Lakeway area of Bellingham eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.7/10. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,861
Renter share70.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$50,496
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellingham and the region
Centroid at 48.7475, -122.4522 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeway scores 8.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellingham
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellingham
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellingham
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellingham
8.1
How Lakeway compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lakeway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeway
Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Whatcom County average of 49.6%.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $50,496 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,467, close to the Bellingham average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073000903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073000903?
Census tract 53073000903 in the Lakeway neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073000903?
Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073000903?
16.9% of residents in tract 53073000903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,450.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073000903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 22th, minority 40th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 53073000903 considered part of Lakeway?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073000903 fall within Lakeway (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073000903 compare to Bellingham overall?
Tract 53073000903 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bellingham at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellingham
Top eight tracts in Bellingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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