Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Madison
Tract 55025001402 · Dane County, WI · pop 5,190 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 55025001402, home to 5,190 residents in Forest Park in Madison, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,114 a month against an average household income of $71,429 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,362
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$71,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Madison and the region
Centroid at 43.0405, -89.4260 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Park scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Madison
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,114 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
5.5
How Forest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,314Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2007)
- 83Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Madison eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dane County average of 4.8 and above the Wisconsin statewide average of 4.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,314 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.5% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 55025001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001402?
Census tract 55025001402 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55025001402?
Median gross rent is $1,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001402?
15.5% of residents in tract 55025001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,190.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 72th, minority 57th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 55025001402 considered part of Forest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001402 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55025001402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,314 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55025001402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.30% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55025001402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55025001402 compare to Madison overall?
Tract 55025001402 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55025001402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Madison
Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Mifflin West
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
South Campus
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Mifflin West
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
State-Langdon
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
South Campus
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Regent
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Bassett
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Greenbush
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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