Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Madison
Tract 55025001402 · Dane County, WI · pop 5,190 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
55025001402 is a census tract in the Forest Park area of Madison, WI. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,190 residents. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,362
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$71,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Madison and the region
Centroid at 43.0405, -89.4260 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Park scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Madison
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,114 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
5.5
How Forest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,314Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2007)
- 83Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Park
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The dominant input is local political climate at 8/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the Dane County average of 4.2. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.6/10.
Against Dane County at 41.3%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,114 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Madison commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.
The filing record is not thin: 1,314 evictions over 13 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2007 at 10.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $71,429.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 55025001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001402?
Census tract 55025001402 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55025001402?
Median gross rent is $1,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001402?
15.5% of residents in tract 55025001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,190.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 72th, minority 57th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 55025001402 considered part of Forest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001402 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55025001402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,314 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55025001402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.30% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55025001402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55025001402 compare to Madison overall?
Tract 55025001402 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55025001402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Madison
Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Indian Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Regent
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
South Campus
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Hiestand
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
South Campus
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Greenbush
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
College Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Glen Oak Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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